So, no sooner do we embark on the first week of October than the weathermen are arguing about just how bad this winter will be. Not our own lads from the Met Office of course; they're still hiding under their desks after the beating they got following last years fiasco. No, the Polish and Russians are the ones who can't agree and there's nothing new there.
According to the RT News Service, The Harbinger of Doom this time is one Vadim Zavodchenkov, a leading specialist at the Fobos weather center, apparently. His predictions are based on a view that suggests the Gulf Stream is cooling fast and indeed, the rate is accelerating.
“Although the forecast for the next month is only 70 percent accurate, I find the cold winter scenario quite likely,” he told RT. “We will be able to judge with more certainty come November. As for last summer's heat, the statistical models that meteorologists use to draw up long-term forecasts aren't able to predict an anomaly like that.”
The Russians though, disagree and expect a normal Russian winter which by any standards, can be described as bloody freezing.
Time to dust down the Tilley lamps then and dispatch Mrs Flashbang off to the cash & carry to stock up with tinned food, candles and loo paper......... I'm not getting caught short.
In Moscow, they're preparing for a harsh winter, as I expect they do every year. Obviously, over here we can expect the Government and Local Councils to be caught completely unaware and for the whole country to come to a complete standstill a few hours after the first snow dump. Look out for that first television interview, with snow ploughs in the background, as some bewildered official effects the, "All necessary steps are being taken, we are not surprised that it snowed," approach to public reassurance.
Meanwhile some hapless junior minister will be hauled out of bed and sent to explain the governments usual "bugger me!" approach to planning for civil disruption with the, "a full investigation will be launched, we'll get to the bottom of this," line.